NPHET's Covid 19 Modelling Didn't Take Account Of Vaccine Programme Changes.

It means the models cabinet used to delay the re-opening of indoor dining were already out of date,

NPHET's modelling of the direction Covid could take over the coming months didn't take into account changes to the vaccine roll-out.

It means the models cabinet used to make a decision on delaying re-opening of indoor dining were out of date.

Our Political Correspondent Seán Defoe reports:

"The models predicting hundreds of thousands of cases of the new Delta variant were a big part of the reason Cabinet Ministers decided to delay re-opening.

Taoiseach Micheál Martin told Ministers on Tuesday they included the changes to the vaccine roll-out that will allow younger people to access AstraZeneca and Johnson & Johnson.

However, CMO Dr Tony Holohan told opposition TDs yesterday, the modeling did not take into account a faster vaccine roll-out.

Which means the models cabinet used to make decisions were already out of date, and likely more pessimistic than they should have been.

The re-opening delay was savaged by some at the Fianna Fáil and Fine Gael parliamentary party meetings last night.

TD Marc MacSharry said he has no confidence in the Taoiseach, and even less in party colleague and health Minister Stephen Donnelly.

While a number of TDs across both parties said if legislation is needed to ensure only vaccinated people will be allowed to dine indoors, they'll vote against it. "

Decision to delay indoor dining did not factor in vaccine boost  https://t.co/oNQrzuR2Vc

— Irish Examiner (@irishexaminer) July 1, 2021

Professor Bill Tormey, a consultant in Beaumont Hospital, says the models made no sense and NPHET should be disbanded.

Chief Executive of the Vintners Federation, Padraig Cribben, says new modelling's needed from NPHET

► VIDEO: Government decision to pause indoor hospitality reopening was correct, says Varadkar https://t.co/eCxaLBqkCk pic.twitter.com/dGYdR0QDX3

— Irish Times Video (@irishtimesvideo) July 1, 2021

Professor Sam McConkey from the Royal College of Surgeons doesn’t think the fact NPET didn't take changes in the vaccination programme in to account made much of a difference

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The Health Minister says he was surprised to hear his Cabinet colleagues feel they were given incorrect information on NPHET's modeling of the Delta variant.

Stephen Donnelly believes that was made clear before the decision was made to delay the re-opening of indoor dining:

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